No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$7.3K
Polymarket Trader
Frosen
@Frosen43
0x06ecb7e739f5455922ce57e83284f132c7f0f845
Verified Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.29K
- Realized PnL
- $272.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$174.52
Yes position
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$174.52
Yes position
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.92K
- Potential profit
- $6.92K
- User PnL
- -$172.65
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.17K
- Potential profit
- $6.17K
- User PnL
- -$153.88
Yes position
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.85K
- Potential profit
- $4.85K
- User PnL
- -$294.45
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- User PnL
- -$119.94
Yes position
Will Elon apologize to Trump before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- User PnL
- -$201.47
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.29K
- Potential payout
- $4.54K
- Potential profit
- $249.87
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $428.79
Yes position
Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$139.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- User PnL
- -$268.64
No position
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.96K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- User PnL
- -$237.73
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $3.82K
- User PnL
- -$95.35
Yes position
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$4.03
Yes position
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.63K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- User PnL
- -$10.89
No position
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- User PnL
- -$2.13K
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- -$804.31
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.43K
- User PnL
- -$309.46
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- User PnL
- -$699.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- User PnL
- -$695.41
Yes position
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- User PnL
- -$49.77
Yes position
India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- User PnL
- -$305.53
Yes position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- User PnL
- -$64.64
No position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- User PnL
- -$12.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.99K
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.01K
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.3K
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.7K
No position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71K
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.17K
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88K
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.26K
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39K
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36K
Yes position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16K
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.63K
Yes position
Elon Musk out as Senior Advisor to Trump in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.35K
Yes position
Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73K
Yes position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.66K
Yes position
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
No position
Bitcoin all time high before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
No position
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
No position
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 3,692.67 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 0.4% 675.33 shares
- Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 0.5% 335.66 shares
- Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 0.3% 1,015.01 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 0.3% 1,424.02 shares
- Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 0.6% 219.99 shares
- Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 1.1% 1,042.78 shares
- Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 2.1% 2,361.16 shares
- Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 9.1% 310.21 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 73% 10,000 shares
- Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 14?Yes 4% 24.99 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 61% 400 shares