Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $334.99
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $664.99
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$479.99
Polymarket Trader
nostradamust
0x0702c74d883a9ed5f6dcb82f46770671ad10d5f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2K
- Realized PnL
- $6.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $830.72
- Potential payout
- $881.4
- Potential profit
- $50.68
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $84.72
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $808.91
- Potential profit
- $808.91
- User PnL
- -$456
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $96.25
- Potential payout
- $611.11
- Potential profit
- $514.86
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $177.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $322.5
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $172.45
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $327.54
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$112.55
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $200.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $91.67
- Potential payout
- $122.16
- Potential profit
- $30.49
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.1
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$13.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $638.28
Yes position
OpenAI browser in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.99
No position
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.67
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.99
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.99
No position
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.69
No position
Grok 5 released by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.32
Yes position
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.94
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Russia" or "China" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.98
Yes position
Will Netanyahu say "Israel" 50+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.5
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.97
Yes position
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.05
Yes position
Will Amazon dip to $224 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.5
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peace" 7+ times during Malaysia events on October 26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "AI" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.02
No position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 9% 200 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes 49% 100 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes 48.9% 408.91 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No 47.5% 199.99 shares
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 37% 99.99 shares
- Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No 98.5% 229.87 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?No 81.9% 122.16 shares
- Grok 4.20 released by January 31?No 28% 99.92 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 83% 200 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes 19.2% 250 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 86% 581.4 shares