Polymarket Trader

S888

0x0711e162e05349de3d87626dea4285d08537f03c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $3.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $4.01K
User PnL: -$14.74

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.31K
Potential profit: $3.31K
User PnL: -$11.43

Yes position

Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$10.77

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.53K
User PnL: -$7.32

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.50 in August?

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.47K
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $2.35K
User PnL: -$31.75

Yes position

Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$100.33

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$5.26

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$12.29

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.50 in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$9.23

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$14.67

Yes position

Will Trump Leave China on May 13?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$3.54

No position

OpenAI browser by October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$10.05

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$24.09

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be between $4.50-4.75 in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$1.72

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$10.53

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$8.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hat" this week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$14.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "N Word" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will Trump Leave China on May 14?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$2.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.77

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $292.7

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.36

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.89

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.91

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.94

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.35

Yes position

Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.84

Yes position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.05

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.93

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.82

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.3

Yes position

TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.7

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.45

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.16

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.08

Yes position

Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.87

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.5

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.96

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.2

No position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.67

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

No 67% 36 shares
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Yes 33% 10 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 70% 6.47 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 70% 8.62 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 70% 11.49 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Yes 96.1% 8.7 shares
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 0.4% 189 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 69% 16 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 68% 15 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 32% 12 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 64% 10 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Yes 67% 6.05 shares