Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $501.16
- Potential payout
- $16.99K
- Potential profit
- $16.49K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$498.83
Polymarket Trader
0x0716EC765315A6a09eB2d0B8ABE661035Ad155E9-1772467779981
0x0716ec765315a6a09eb2d0b8abe661035ad155e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $501.16
- Realized PnL
- $1.82K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.71
- Potential profit
- $134.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.87
- Potential profit
- $92.87
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.03
- Potential profit
- $84.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.44
- Potential profit
- $33.44
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.16
- Potential profit
- $19.16
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.15
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.65
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.37
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.97
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.28
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.36
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.78
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.14
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.72
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes 0.2% 1,450.52 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 0.4% 7,965.39 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 35.2% 2,839.55 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 42% 359.69 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 56% 1,785.71 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 81% 1,230.51 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 81.3% 1,230.51 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No 90.5% 1,318.42 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 34.8% 846.37 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No 33.8% 2,959.47 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 3,225.8 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 3,225.81 shares