No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $33.4
Polymarket Trader
0x0729A91138dbA9addc310D39F57aAd555371C50
0x0729a91138dba9addc310d39f57aad555371c50e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.89K
- Realized PnL
- $6.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $810.39
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $598.99
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $810.39
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $638.09
- Potential profit
- $637.77
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$42.85
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $592.5
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $32
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $468
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$293
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $279
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $44.84
- Potential payout
- $49.04
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $694.01
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.99
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.4
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $320.03
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $311.91
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.64
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $292.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $268.91
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.48
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.25
No position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.87
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154
Yes position
Will Iran strike Oman in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.8
No position
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.8
Yes position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.4
No position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 98.9% 672.33 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?No 94.5% 100 shares
- Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?No 59% 120 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 31% 100 shares
- U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No 81% 5 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 48% 500 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes 51% 462.17 shares
- Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?No 93% 15.48 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 32% 499.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 68% 300 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 40% 499.96 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 16% 578.33 shares