Polymarket Trader

mytwosatoshies

0x07325a9c4fdec0f3f1524349de1191066971c290

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $519.65
Realized PnL: $545.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $315.65
Potential payout: $330.52
Potential profit: $14.87
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $53.65

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $204
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $96
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.36
Potential profit: $296.36
User PnL: -$176.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.6
Potential profit: $178.6
User PnL: -$15.96

Yes position

Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$58.5

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.73
Potential profit: $91.73
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.13

No position

Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.99

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.2

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.01

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.77

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.16

No position

Will Saif Ali Khan be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Vanderbilt position

Missouri vs. Vanderbilt

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

No position

Weed rescheduled in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

Seahawks position

49ers vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Ole Miss position

Tulane vs. Ole Miss

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Up 8% 24.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Up 1% 199.99 shares
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Down 2% 49.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 1% 199.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Down 4.6% 107.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Up 2% 49.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Up 27% 18.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Down 2% 99.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Down 19% 26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Up 47% 10.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Down 1% 100 shares