No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $200.98
- Potential payout
- $232.35
- Potential profit
- $31.37
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $9.06
Polymarket Trader
Violet-VinyI
0x074f41295611eb11f3582a007a66be3cf5b66abf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $659.56
- Realized PnL
- $484.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $128.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $71
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $99.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- User PnL
- $14.15
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$4.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$58.46
Under 3.5 position
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $49.48
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $20.55
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$6.75
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $19.73
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $15.79
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.03
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.07
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.08
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.88
No position
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.86
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.73
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.03
No position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.27
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $23.62
No position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.7
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.7
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.72
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 28?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 23?Yes 91% 46.29 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No 74.7% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 22?Yes 85% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown 81% 6.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 21?Yes 81% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 21?Yes 74% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 21?Yes 67% 6 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 18% 11.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 20?No 84.8% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 20?No 91% 11.11 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 69% 5 shares