0x076168eb77459D0A4fd185f9cCF890FD3846AD5C-1784104187783

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $191.05
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $4.41K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$135

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $358.7
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $945.65
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $58.7

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $105.56
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $5.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $818.72
Potential profit: $818.72
User PnL: -$85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.67
Potential profit: $370.67
User PnL: -$55

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.62
Potential profit: $305.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $13.38
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $256.89
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $12.16
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $215.11
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $2.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.56
Potential profit: $182.56
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.02
Potential profit: $174.02
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.46
Potential profit: $117.46
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.98
Potential profit: $97.98
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.33
Potential profit: $91.33
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.7
Potential profit: $63.7
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Rooster position

Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group A

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET