Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.81
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Polymarket Trader
0x0762...d427
0x07620748ffb00259f0ac3cdb72507d020cfcd427
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $36.94
- Realized PnL
- -$44.92
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $19.36
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $6.28
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $9.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $25.63
- Potential profit
- $22.17
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $22.31
- Potential profit
- $22.18
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.67
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $7.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $5.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $9.41
- Potential profit
- $7.01
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?Yes 39% 25.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on July 9?Yes 3.6% 55.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 9?Yes 12% 16.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 9?Yes 44% 4.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?Yes 16% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?Yes 42% 4.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 9?Yes 9% 22.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?Yes 43% 4.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown 38% 5.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 43% 4.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp 48% 27.02 shares