No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.05K
- Potential payout
- $7.54K
- Potential profit
- $490.36
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $78.89
Polymarket Trader
McBet
0x0766b18f88e38d4c1c98dd26df19ac901b2373f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.09K
- Realized PnL
- $2.91K
- Win rate
- 78.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $35.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.07
Yes position
OpenAI browser by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $445.9
No position
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.18
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.76
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $101.88
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.09
No position
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $20.34
No position
Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be <85
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
No position
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
OpenAI browser by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
Yes position
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.05
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.12
No position
Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be 90-94
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.42
No position
OpenAI browser by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$154.7
No position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 17% 17 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 53% 17 shares
- OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes 97% 2.06 shares
- Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes 77% 123.46 shares
- Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?No 79% 100 shares
- Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be 90-94No 0.1% 14 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?No 85% 695.1 shares
- Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore be 90-94No 0.1% 38,435.35 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?No 83% 750 shares
- OpenAI browser by September 30?No 68.8% 3,453.7 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?No 77% 30 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?No 65.1% 614.06 shares