Polymarket Trader

Taro89

0x07681dae0390c7a520878d261cda67739a4b0a76

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.15
Realized PnL: $121.37
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $470.49
Potential profit: $467.91
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $7.36
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $127.77
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $67.47
Potential profit: $63.38
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $38.29
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $42.56
Potential profit: $40.75
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.28
Potential profit: $35.28
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 52.4%
Current value: $17.07
Potential payout: $32.57
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $7.07

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $27.06
Potential profit: $23.94
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $11.57
Potential payout: $16.18
Potential profit: $4.61
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.86
Potential profit: $9.86
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: -$2

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.71

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.21

Warriors position

NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16

No position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Golden Knights

Ends May 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

No position

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Vikings position

Spread: Packers (-1.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Journalism win the Belmont Stakes?

Ends Jun 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 14% 42.86 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 67.8% 7.37 shares
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 0.4% 232.27 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 7.4% 67.47 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 71.4% 7 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 70.4% 14.2 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 74.7% 6.69 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 58% 31.21 shares
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 4.7% 42.55 shares
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 3.1% 22.22 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 30.7% 32.57 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 68% 16.18 shares