Polymarket Trader

milize

0x076ca0207aaa48365da2eb6a917edcbdee5e4e7b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $5.48K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $599.95
Potential payout: $4.8K
Potential profit: $4.2K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$97.93

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.11K
Potential profit: $4.11K
User PnL: -$4.11

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $317.93
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $230.7

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $69.43
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $594.58

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $622
Potential profit: $622
User PnL: -$6.21

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.01
Potential profit: $615.01
User PnL: -$416.2

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $214.2
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $385.8
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: -$336.2

No position

Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506.38
Potential profit: $506.38
User PnL: -$161.28

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$170

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $500
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $275

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $72.5
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $427.49
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$42.5

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $490
Potential profit: $490
User PnL: -$220.5

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $370
User PnL: -$134.5

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$36.2

No position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $18.68
Potential payout: $336.66
Potential profit: $317.98
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$122.78

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$57

No position

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $283.49
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.86

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $108.75
Potential payout: $250.01
Potential profit: $141.26
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $38.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $211.13
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $10.88

No position

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $239.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $10.88
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.75

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $58.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $191.88
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$7.88

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $112.58
Potential payout: $242.1
Potential profit: $129.52
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$10.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Yes 17% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

No 93.4% 15.21 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Yes 3.5% 400 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?

No 14.9% 12.5 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?

No 15% 8.35 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Yes 4% 120 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

No 95.9% 28.89 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

No 96% 34.28 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

No 87% 5 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

No 87% 5 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

No 96.1% 1.82 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 499.54 shares