Polymarket Trader

ffdspline

0x076d9738e5173e0e4bccdc583da847cdd423b59c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.5
Realized PnL: $1.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $14.29K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.25
Potential profit: $260.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.71
Potential profit: $145.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.89
Potential profit: $113.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.89
Potential profit: $113.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.39
Potential profit: $112.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.79
Potential profit: $110.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.84
Potential profit: $106.84
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.07
Potential profit: $96.07
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.13
Potential profit: $35.13
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$1

No position

Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $6.17
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $9.5

No position

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$1

No position

Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.77
Potential profit: $15.77
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.48
Potential profit: $14.48
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 2.27 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Yes 74.7% 1.34 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

No 52.1% 1.92 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Down 52% 1.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Down 65% 1.52 shares
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 7.3% 13.7 shares
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 7% 14.29 shares
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 10% 10 shares
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 8.8% 11.36 shares
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 9% 11.11 shares
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 8% 12.5 shares