Polymarket Trader

LukewarmGuesser

0x077127390f035438d744e220c719ee5f1a0ccd63

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.15K
Realized PnL: $125.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $7.13K
Potential payout: $7.4K
Potential profit: $277.67
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $369.85

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $22.89
Potential payout: $26.17
Potential profit: $3.27
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.07
Potential profit: $3.07
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Chinese Taipei position

First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Japan position

First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Venezuela position

Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 46% 4.35 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 5.17 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 65.2% 3.07 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 2.67 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 62% 3.23 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 66% 6.06 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 99.9% 3.29 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 3.3 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 99.9% 2.89 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares