Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.1K
- Potential payout
- $16.1K
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- User PnL
- $215.33
Polymarket Trader
0x0778f4285f5b21CB4B8aB69bE7ec4DAc38A04399-1776146597429
0x0778f4285f5b21cb4b8ab69be7ec4dac38a04399
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.55K
- Realized PnL
- $12.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- User PnL
- $346.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $536.53
- Potential profit
- $536.53
- User PnL
- -$10.66
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $245.23
- Potential payout
- $366.02
- Potential profit
- $120.79
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$20.76
No position
Will Trump name "Gianni" or "Infantino" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276.65
- Potential profit
- $276.65
- User PnL
- -$265.69
No position
Will Trump name "Hillary" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.65
- Potential profit
- $221.65
- User PnL
- -$214.09
No position
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.6
- Potential profit
- $38.6
- User PnL
- -$34.92
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.24
- Potential profit
- $14.24
- User PnL
- -$12.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $894.27
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.07
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $490.32
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.48
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.39
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.18
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.57
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.34
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.38
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.72
Yes position
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.32
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.78
No position
Will Trump say "Toronto" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.77
No position
Will Trump name "Paxton" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.99
Yes position
Will Trump post "Dad" or "Daddy" on Truth Social this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.49
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.79
Yes position
Will Trump praise Jesus by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 99% 501.58 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 99% 3,022.57 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 99% 563.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4,000 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 98.8% 3,870.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4,000 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 99% 4,037.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4,000 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 94.8% 67.49 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 95% 3,192.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,500 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 87% 2,112.75 shares