mustafaaljadrey

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.11

Yes position

Will Oscar Romero be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.11

Yes position

Will Megan Rodriguez be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.11

Yes position

Will James Felton Keith be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.11

Yes position

Will Theo Chino-Tavarez be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.11

Yes position

Will Matt Miller be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$42.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$137.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$137.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$137.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$137.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$137.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$137.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$137.2

Yes position

Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$44.37

Yes position

Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $879.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$36.23

Yes position

Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $879.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$36.23

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $879.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$36.23

Yes position

Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $879.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$36.23

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $879.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$36.23

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $879.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$36.23

Yes position

Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $880
Potential profit: $879.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$36.23

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $875.01
Potential profit: $873.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$35.15

Yes position

Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $272.01
Potential profit: $271.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$54.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $88.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $88.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $88.91
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $88.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $88.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $88.91
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $88.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.68
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$6.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $737.12

No position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $707.12

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $403.33

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $403.33

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $403.33

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $403.33

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $187.4

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $167.2

No position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $155.05

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $121.8

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $106.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $77.74

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $47.35

No position

Will Casemiro join Inter Miami?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $46.51

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?

Implied probability: 62.6%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $45.61

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $29.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $21.56

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $16.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $13.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $9

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 61%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $7.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $7.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $6.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $6.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $5.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $5.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $5.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $5.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20?

Implied probability: 22.8%
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 87.1%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 78.9%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 64%
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 65%
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $2.29

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?

Implied probability: 71%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 20?