Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $3.46K
- Potential payout
- $4.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$208.92
Polymarket Trader
peter1123
0x077edef8f8d4565fe8296d4261860151b29e06d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.77K
- Realized PnL
- $2.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Pistons position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $315
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$315
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $923.87
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $782.38
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $230.39
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.55
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $38.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.7
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $15.8
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.75
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Over position
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?No 1.3% 1,459.07 shares
- Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?No 4.2% 1,520 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61.9% 2,320 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 16.7% 293.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 54% 25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Yes 19% 2.46 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 32% 210.97 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 60.6% 6,675.92 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Yes 5.9% 1,721.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 43% 370.35 shares
- Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?No 96.1% 60 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares