Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $32.92
- Potential payout
- $36.78
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Polymarket Trader
AlchemistsDen
0x0789b2834664746cb7c2b360f86f7ce96135a68b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.92
- Realized PnL
- $11.75
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Tennessee Volunteers position
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.32
- Potential profit
- $33.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Rangers position
Panthers vs. Rangers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the US strike Venezuela next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 36.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.5% 37.43 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 34.78 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 34.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 34.51 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.7% 34.52 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.1% 32.88 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.3% 32.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 34.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93% 34.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 27?No 78% 26.14 shares
- Panthers vs. RangersRangers 95% 2.11 shares