Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $48.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $51.5
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
0x07AE74f4805cbB45665D624076BDDc034fb28696-1774454488662
0x07ae74f4805cbb45665d624076bddc034fb28696
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.79
- Realized PnL
- $58.81
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $11.91
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $76.32
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $31.85
- Potential payout
- $34.33
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $19.57
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.3%
- Current value
- $19.96
- Potential payout
- $26.49
- Potential profit
- $6.53
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.74
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.95
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.85
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 50% 100 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 17% 88.24 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 87.4% 34.33 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 75.5% 26.49 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 69% 28.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 75.58 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 80.4% 18.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88.1% 34.05 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 60% 58.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 75.58 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 93% 40.22 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 87% 40.23 shares