Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $91.34
- Potential payout
- $250.24
- Potential profit
- $158.9
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $18.77
Polymarket Trader
0x07c4...5b82
0x07c4c9844e6e001ac89f2f2aca422159339d5b82
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $369.6
- Realized PnL
- $1.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $23.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $226.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $101.89
- Potential payout
- $122.02
- Potential profit
- $20.13
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.05
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $72.08
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $26.97
- Potential payout
- $64.92
- Potential profit
- $37.95
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $10.51
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $46.31
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.49
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $51.18
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $25.17
- Potential payout
- $30.51
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $26.02
- Potential payout
- $29.07
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $25.01
- Potential payout
- $28.92
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $24.73
- Potential payout
- $27.33
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.79
- Multiplier
- 7.58x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 9.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $123.73
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.77
Yes position
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.01
Under position
Palermo FC vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 1.5
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.67
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.36
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.47
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.32
Marie Bouzkova position
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Panna Udvardy
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.08
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.36
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.93
Over position
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.67
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.39
Cincinnati Reds position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.19
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.95
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.75
Under position
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.12
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.88
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 83.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 83.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 83.41 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 86% 28.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 69% 47.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 85% 43.85 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 30.51 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 27.33 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 30.51 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 30.51 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 30.51 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 81% 30.51 shares