Polymarket Trader

hvyLiam

0x07c6a67cb488ca1cd6bc59d957863b9cb2dee249

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $64.42
Realized PnL: $62.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $190.5
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $54.92
Potential payout: $75.24
Potential profit: $20.31
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $30.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 97.4%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $17.8

No position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Will 'Fern' win Crunchyroll's Best Supporting Character Award for 2025?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

New Half-Life game by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 9–16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5

Over 61% 2 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 85% 1.46 shares
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

No 47% 4.09 shares
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Yes 53% 3.61 shares
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Yes 55% 3.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Up 51% 1.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 63% 3.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Up 37.9% 2.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Down 54% 2.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Down 38.9% 2.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Up 50% 2.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Up 39% 2.53 shares