Polymarket Trader

Panopticon007

0x07cf80fbecbb58e23d5ed977af7be3c09e7aa9fa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.32K
Realized PnL: $21.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6.77
Potential payout: $4.51K
Potential profit: $4.51K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.91

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $481.5
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $481.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $85.13
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $51.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $71.9
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $41.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$23.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $19.52
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $14.97
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$10.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$22.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $18.87
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$21.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $22.77
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $14.31
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$11.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$21.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $16.92
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $14.31
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$11.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$22.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$20.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$21.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.83
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$19.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $977.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $965.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $964.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $943.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $935.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $910.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $909.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $889

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $779.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $692.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $646.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $460.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 59% 29.12 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 61% 100 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 56.8% 6.54 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?

No 79% 130 shares
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 7.2% 90 shares
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 24.3 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 98.3% 100 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 2% 20 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 1.9% 69 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 82% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 84.4% 100 shares