No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $10.54
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $6.46
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Polymarket Trader
0x07d0...0b55
0x07d0208ed6e01f49b4c6a77f8599c4f885260b55
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $35.12
- Realized PnL
- $0.17
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.96
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $10.74
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $11.34
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.89
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.07
- Multiplier
- 5.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 86% 6 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 6 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 6 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 92.1% 7 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 22 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 75% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 7.3% 19 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 83% 6 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 81% 9 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 10 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 63% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 57.7% 9 shares