Polymarket Trader

Wojtek

@KrasnalWojtek

0x07d4245464dc4fa05d0b3f084d82482462dc8991

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.16K
Realized PnL: $171.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $343.5
Potential payout: $98.14K
Potential profit: $97.8K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$514.27

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $131.93
Potential payout: $52.77K
Potential profit: $52.64K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$195.09

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $25.47
Potential payout: $50.93K
Potential profit: $50.91K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$220.49

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $24.93
Potential payout: $49.85K
Potential profit: $49.83K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$99.01

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $17.02
Potential payout: $34.03K
Potential profit: $34.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$70.75

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $16.87
Potential payout: $33.74K
Potential profit: $33.73K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$81.82

Yes position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $214.73
Potential payout: $21.47K
Potential profit: $21.26K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$812.25

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $30.32
Potential payout: $20.21K
Potential profit: $20.18K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$26.94

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$23.62

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $872.59
Potential payout: $16.94K
Potential profit: $16.07K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $335.23

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $460.07
Potential payout: $14.16K
Potential profit: $13.7K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $212.74

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $732.25
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $9.37K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $251.88

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $75.01
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.93K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$318.91

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $562.17
Potential payout: $9.95K
Potential profit: $9.39K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$27.92

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $22.24
Potential payout: $8.89K
Potential profit: $8.87K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$80.54

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $8.7K
Potential profit: $8.7K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$31.09

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $33.81
Potential payout: $8.45K
Potential profit: $8.42K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $21.14

Yes position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $88.16
Potential payout: $8.01K
Potential profit: $7.93K
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$456.02

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $55.99
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.94K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $34.59

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $173.2
Potential payout: $7.7K
Potential profit: $7.52K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$91.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $39.19
Potential payout: $7.13K
Potential profit: $7.09K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$45.01

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $31.27
Potential payout: $6.95K
Potential profit: $6.92K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$66.25

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $6.8K
Potential profit: $6.79K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$32.22

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $187.88
Potential payout: $6.59K
Potential profit: $6.4K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $43.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US bank failure by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7K

Yes position

Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.66K

Yes position

US bank failure by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.54K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.84K

Yes position

Solana flips ETH in daily fees in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99K

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.72K

Yes position

Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.64K

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83K

Yes position

Will Trump win 7 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43K

Yes position

Will Biden drop out on July 21?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59K

Yes position

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56K

Yes position

Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41K

Yes position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64K

Yes position

Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89K

Yes position

Biden drops out in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84K

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.48K

Yes position

X banned in Brazil by Friday?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43K

Yes position

Trump releases Epstein list today?

Ends Feb 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.2% 295 shares
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 3.1% 5 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 6,880.69 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 157.53 shares
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.5% 157.53 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.3% 102.8 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 77.74 shares
Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.3% 130 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,548.83 shares
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 150 shares