Polymarket Trader

paveldurovindahouse

0x07df437ed08ac1132c447a5a14016b074fab4279

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $114.47
Realized PnL: $2.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $79
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $32.08
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will Lithuania win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.52
Potential profit: $236.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $175.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $149.45
Potential profit: $149.37
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.72

Yes position

Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.89
Potential profit: $117.89
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $42.68
Potential profit: $39.38
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Greece position

Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greece

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.24
Potential profit: $19.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.29

Yes position

Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?

Ends Jan 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.04

No position

Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.25

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.7

No position

Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.05

Yes position

Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021?

Ends Feb 3, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.29

No position

Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.54

Yes position

Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021?

Ends Mar 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.18

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.89

Yes position

Will $HAWK FDV be $30,000,000 or more one day after launch?

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.42

Yes position

Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021?

Ends Nov 15, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 476437.98x
User PnL: $62.97

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.92

No position

Iran military response by Monday?

Ends Aug 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.61

Yes position

Will Coinbase reach #1 in the Finance category on the US iOS App Store before 2021?

Ends Jan 2, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.36

Yes position

Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 11055658.86x
User PnL: $41.88

Yes position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.47

Yes position

Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 50m-75m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.3

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.22

Yes position

Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.98

Yes position

Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.92

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.25

Yes position

Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 8.2% 42.68 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 14% 35.71 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 92% 13.84 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 65% 13.85 shares
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?

Yes 7.6% 117.89 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 2,000 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 1,944.44 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 17% 891.7 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Yes 38% 149.45 shares
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Yes 13.7% 442.56 shares