Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $9.5K
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Polymarket Trader
aviad102
0x07e4a017a44cadb8f027e02c06566ff25e376c18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.09K
- Realized PnL
- $1.01K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $232.59
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $32.6
Yes position
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $20.13
- Potential payout
- $583.62
- Potential profit
- $563.48
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $34.48
- Potential payout
- $447.8
- Potential profit
- $413.32
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $4.44
- Potential payout
- $443.95
- Potential profit
- $439.51
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.56
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $21.67
- Potential payout
- $401.33
- Potential profit
- $379.66
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $309.09
- Potential payout
- $323.66
- Potential profit
- $14.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.09
Yes position
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $20.62
- Potential payout
- $310.09
- Potential profit
- $289.47
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $18.69
- Potential payout
- $276.82
- Potential profit
- $258.13
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$31.31
Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $7.39
- Potential payout
- $242.21
- Potential profit
- $234.82
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $99.68
- Potential payout
- $197.63
- Potential profit
- $97.94
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $15.78
- Potential payout
- $196.08
- Potential profit
- $180.29
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $84.13
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $37.82
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $34.13
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.44
- Potential payout
- $99.7
- Potential profit
- $80.26
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$10.56
No position
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $64.49
- Potential payout
- $92.8
- Potential profit
- $28.31
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $14.49
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.43
- Potential profit
- $86.43
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.13
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.79
Yes position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $12.57
- Potential payout
- $79.28
- Potential profit
- $66.71
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- -$17.43
No position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $42.48
- Potential payout
- $70.22
- Potential profit
- $27.74
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.52
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $52.27
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $10.85
- Potential payout
- $58.48
- Potential profit
- $47.63
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $41.97
- Potential payout
- $54.86
- Potential profit
- $12.89
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$8.03
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $19.51
- Potential payout
- $51.68
- Potential profit
- $32.17
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.74
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.42
Yes position
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $43.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $16.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $11.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?No 91.1% 54.86 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?Yes 41% 121.95 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?Yes 6.7% 447.8 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 58% 34.48 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 92.7% 323.66 shares
- Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 9.7% 310.09 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 50.6% 197.63 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.7% 51.68 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 43.6% 114.79 shares
- Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?Yes 37.8% 79.28 shares
- Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes 30.1% 99.7 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11.3% 237.97 shares