Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $624.68
- Potential payout
- $672.06
- Potential profit
- $47.38
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $127.24
Polymarket Trader
0x0805FC3450A49b0FFdbe9C93A9e928791eFF0BB1-1772227506046
0x0805fc3450a49b0ffdbe9c93a9e928791eff0bb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $769.81
- Realized PnL
- $1.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $145.12
- Potential payout
- $149.53
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $16.12
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.35
- Potential profit
- $29.35
- User PnL
- -$13.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.32
- Potential profit
- $15.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.54
- Potential profit
- $11.54
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.86
- Potential profit
- $5.86
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.83
- Potential profit
- $5.83
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.02
- Potential profit
- $5.02
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71
- Potential profit
- $2.71
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $2.41
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.75
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.43
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.4
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.24
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.97
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.54
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.7
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.58
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.34
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.14
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.82
Yes position
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.32
Yes position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 2?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 64.9% 154.03 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 71.7% 40.46 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 73.3% 136.5 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71% 140.91 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 91.7% 109.07 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 82.9% 120.63 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 48% 25.47 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 25.8% 3.88 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.9% 2.22 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 22?Yes 74.5% 268.36 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 22?Yes 75.9% 245.45 shares