No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $6.28K
- User PnL
- -$3.04K
Polymarket Trader
multit
0x08151488c858a791733ee8e450b3d37303c43eb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.97K
- Realized PnL
- $9.65K
- Win rate
- 93.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $3.68K
- Potential payout
- $4.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $784.11
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $213.96
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$63.81
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $459.35
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$434.65
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $840.44
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $576.9
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$23.09
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- User PnL
- -$658
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $64.7
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$750
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $158.65
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.35
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $741.97
- Potential profit
- $741.97
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.28
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $654.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.33
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.64
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $547.51
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $504.55
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.38
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.65
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.01
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.88
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.53
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$97.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?No 84% 1,401.52 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 1,670 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 84% 1,401.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 36.6% 1,337.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 51% 980.39 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 49% 1,163.27 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 96.7% 1,624.65 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 63% 1,624.65 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 84% 63.43 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 54.8% 1,196.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.9% 1,666.66 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 35.5% 562.79 shares