No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $298.26
- Potential payout
- $348.84
- Potential profit
- $50.58
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Polymarket Trader
StormApex
0x081fc8c361ba4bc39893ea3104e90ce2f71cbf8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $375.15
- Realized PnL
- $294.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $217.65
- Potential profit
- $213.4
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $7.62
- Potential payout
- $147.89
- Potential profit
- $140.28
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $124.06
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $82.76
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $77.87
- Potential profit
- $77.28
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.52
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $8.93
- Potential payout
- $43.56
- Potential profit
- $34.63
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.5
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.35
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $20.15
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $10.35
- Potential payout
- $20.5
- Potential profit
- $10.15
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $7.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $18.8
- Potential profit
- $17.42
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $18.38
- Potential profit
- $14.15
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $10.72
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $15.76
- Potential profit
- $14.42
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.27
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $15.04
- Potential profit
- $12.95
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $12.33
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $11.91
- Potential profit
- $11.73
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.2%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $11.68
- Potential profit
- $8.74
- Multiplier
- 3.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $10.24
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $23.74
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.85
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 24?No 65% 16 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?Yes 51% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 24?Yes 25% 16 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?Yes 51% 10 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?Yes 51% 5.5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 24?Yes 25% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 24?No 79% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 24?No 79% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 23?Yes 0.4% 22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 23?Yes 1% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?Yes 7% 7.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?Yes 7% 15 shares