No position
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $129.78
- Potential payout
- $131.36
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Polymarket Trader
eletiongate
@eletiongat8292
0x0823a1ce340834e97b8283fbe8da68ac9162a970
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $594.17
- Realized PnL
- $827.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $93
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1
N
No position
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $83
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $97.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
No position
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $96.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
No position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $49.45
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $44.93
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $2.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429
No position
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.6
Yes position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.59
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.97
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by next Friday?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Aster all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will XRP reach $4.50 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 24?No 99.7% 27 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on June 24?No 99.2% 13.37 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 24?No 99% 90 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on June 24?No 99.8% 64.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 24?No 99.1% 50 shares
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 80% 100 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 100 shares
- Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 99% 71.36 shares
- Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 99% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 24?No 99.5% 100 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No 92% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 23?No 99.8% 75.12 shares