Polymarket Trader

lukatst

0x083c87f5f6b15a3f921ec5e266e65d4cbb8765f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $227.97
Realized PnL: $1.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$23.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$14.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$12.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $929
Potential profit: $929
User PnL: -$9.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $752
Potential profit: $752
User PnL: -$7.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $614.3
Potential profit: $614.3
User PnL: -$12.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599
Potential profit: $599
User PnL: -$5.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536
Potential profit: $536
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.99
Potential profit: $367.99
User PnL: -$29.44

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $14.1
Potential payout: $233
Potential profit: $218.9
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$6.87

Over position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.98
Potential profit: $195.98
User PnL: -$99.95

Jelena Ostapenko position

Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$37.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.03
Potential profit: $152.03
User PnL: -$34.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.5
Potential profit: $146.5
User PnL: -$11.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.68
Potential profit: $145.68
User PnL: -$8.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.52
Potential profit: $128.52
User PnL: -$7.6

Los Angeles Dodgers position

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $113.93
Potential payout: $118
Potential profit: $4.07
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $30.49

Under position

Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.99
Potential profit: $115.99
User PnL: -$59.16

Over position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $114
User PnL: -$59.28

T1 position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$59.4

Team Secret Whales position

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $86.95

T1 position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $91
User PnL: -$67.34

Australia position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$39.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.17

Over position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.26

Over position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.14

Over position

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.08

Over position

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.78

Sabres position

Lightning vs. Sabres

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.34

Over position

PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.84

Over position

Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.18

Under position

Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.68

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.17

Senators position

Hurricanes vs. Senators

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.27

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Capitals

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Morocco position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.48

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.84

Maple Leafs position

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.22

No position

Will Trump say "Third term" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.09

Kings position

Predators vs. Kings

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.05

Blackhawks position

Blackhawks vs. Kraken

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Up 89% 6.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Down 93% 8.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Up 91% 8.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Up 89% 6.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Down 93% 8.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Up 93% 8.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Up 92% 6.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 92% 8.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 92% 6.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 94% 7.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 91% 6.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Down 91% 8.15 shares