Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Polymarket Trader
Duf1988
0x083f818ee988cc06300ed8d48cc5e0410ff5a55f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.19K
- Realized PnL
- $8.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $992.18
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $31.21
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $372.19
No position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.52
- Potential profit
- $833.52
- User PnL
- -$190
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $763.79
- Potential profit
- $763.79
- User PnL
- -$365.86
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $654.04
- Potential profit
- $654.04
- User PnL
- -$170
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $638.34
- Potential profit
- $638.34
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590.71
- Potential profit
- $590.71
- User PnL
- -$179
Sinner position
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $549.45
- Potential profit
- $549.45
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $493.59
- Potential profit
- $493.59
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.78
- Potential profit
- $433.78
- User PnL
- -$85
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.23
- Potential profit
- $433.23
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.46
- Potential profit
- $428.46
- User PnL
- -$123.13
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $422.33
- Potential profit
- $422.33
- User PnL
- -$140
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $398.67
- Potential profit
- $398.67
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $397.21
- Potential profit
- $397.21
- User PnL
- -$145
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.66
- Potential profit
- $370.66
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $352.83
- Potential profit
- $352.83
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.61
- Potential profit
- $343.61
- User PnL
- -$70
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $314.6
- Potential profit
- $314.6
- User PnL
- -$95
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.54
- Potential profit
- $308.54
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.88
- Potential profit
- $303.88
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.33
- Potential profit
- $287.33
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $286.33
- Potential profit
- $286.33
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $201.43
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $84.29
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84K
No position
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.89
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.5
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.23
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.58
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.86
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.74
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.38
No position
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.42
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.92
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.77
No position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $112.77
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.59
No position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.12
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.57
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.03
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.28
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.88
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.66
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.9
No position
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.08
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.25
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes 91% 109.89 shares
- Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 285.71 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 81.9% 122.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 32.2% 62.12 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 49% 40.82 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 98.6% 43.47 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 105.26 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?No 11.1% 179.96 shares
- Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?No 66.9% 149.43 shares
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?No 32% 62.5 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 29.5% 67.8 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 25.7% 46.4 shares