Yes position
Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $43.58
- Potential payout
- $43.58
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $22.66
Polymarket Trader
tonyaestes
0x0852991219f313beddf01f6be824fbb3d76765b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.91
- Realized PnL
- -$8.34
- Win rate
- 35.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.7
- Potential profit
- $11.7
- User PnL
- -$7.72
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.52
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Yes position
Yoon arrested by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 66% 11.7 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 53% 2.54 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 55% 2.55 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 62% 11.6 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No 52% 3.1 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No 39% 3.1 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 63% 11.6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?No 57.1% 2.33 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 63.1% 2.83 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes 56.8% 2.83 shares
- Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns?Yes 48% 43.58 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes 51% 58.9 shares