No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $476.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $23.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $81.5
Polymarket Trader
ebwxdvj1933
0x0854193aafac5bc7d3ce9096ef5f6e1d83026935
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $802.65
- Realized PnL
- $179.72
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $27.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $172.7
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.4%
- Current value
- $111.53
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $38.47
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $120.08
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $29.92
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$7.42
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.3%
- Current value
- $67.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $32.75
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$16.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 77.9% 150 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 200 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 85% 150 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.9% 100 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.7% 200 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.5% 101.93 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.6% 97.93 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.7% 199.92 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 89.7% 60 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 89% 60 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No 95% 30 shares
- Will NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No 98.4% 40.28 shares