Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
GenevraBlackthorn
0x086dc4fa2c6f8aee4a6b621f945ebf65bd808b82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.43
- Realized PnL
- $361.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.1
- Potential profit
- $97.1
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$30
Cavaliers position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.25
N
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $7.71
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Ryan Spann position
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.36
Team Heretics position
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Cavaliers position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 24 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 81% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?No 83% 7.71 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes 77% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETUp 36% 138.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETUp 57.1% 87.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETUp 51.5% 97.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETDown 50% 60 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown 51% 58.82 shares
- Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers 62% 16.13 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No 92% 16.3 shares
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers 77% 6.54 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)Ryan Spann 44% 373.38 shares