Polymarket Trader

CarolRoland

0x087489564ceed774d55a2aeab35e9b1179b8d847

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $122.86
Realized PnL: $757.8
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $38.9
Potential payout: $39.16
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $33.66
Potential payout: $33.88
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.78
Potential profit: $33.78
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $26.47
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.62
Potential payout: $7.65
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $6.22
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.99
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3.89
Potential payout: $3.89
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

LNG Esports position

LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9
Potential profit: $2.9
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.76
Potential payout: $2.79
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.01
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.82

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.54

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.86

No position

US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.36

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.34

No position

Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.81

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.7%
Multiplier: 2.66x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Republicans control 223 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Up 99% 6.06 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 5,890 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 5,893.89 shares
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 5,927.92 shares
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 5,927.93 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.3% 5,730 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.4% 5,734.41 shares
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.4% 5,929.64 shares
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.5% 5,929.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Down 63% 4.76 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 93% 5,913.98 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.3% 5,533.19 shares