Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $11.16K
- Potential payout
- $11.17K
- Potential profit
- $16.76
- User PnL
- $8.71K
Polymarket Trader
HollowTeacup
0x087a504fba5b23c41559bfee1f4df4b5393911de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.16K
- Realized PnL
- $16.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
No position
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $997.87
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.19
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.09
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.62
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.63
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $268.59
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.9
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.45
No position
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.85
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.55
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.4
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.2
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.65
No position
Over $4M committed to the ALIGN public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 23.8% 3,000 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 5% 5,246.58 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 95.8% 4,999.85 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 7,600 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 90% 3,000 shares
- Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 82% 2,757.32 shares
- Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 57.7% 720.32 shares
- Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes 80% 2,584.61 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?No 50% 1,000 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?No 44% 885.59 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?No 43.1% 787.82 shares
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?No 50% 170 shares