Polymarket Trader

avocato

@avocato31

0x088e9e9e70240212a1bae73269598fb0fc96bc56

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.98K
Realized PnL: $25.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $11.88K
Potential payout: $14.4K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $359.94

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$20.87

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 66.7%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$620.33

Yes position

Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $13.48
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$54.5

Yes position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $153.21
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$12.06

Yes position

Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$33.63

Yes position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $72.54
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $30.96

Yes position

Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $15.7
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$14.75

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $53.83
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $102.09
Potential payout: $996
Potential profit: $893.91
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: $51.88

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $53.54
Potential payout: $498
Potential profit: $444.47
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: $21.16

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $56.43
Potential payout: $417.99
Potential profit: $361.56
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $10.45

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $65.68
Potential payout: $355
Potential profit: $289.33
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.78

No position

Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $301.99
Potential payout: $322.98
Potential profit: $20.99
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$2.69

No position

Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $151.2
Potential payout: $168
Potential profit: $16.8
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $11.76

No position

Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $76.99
Potential payout: $117.54
Potential profit: $40.55
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $9.88
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73K

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98K

Heat position

Heat vs. Bulls

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

No position

Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Sabres position

Canadiens vs. Sabres

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $715.25

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.2

No position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $632.05

No position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $553.79

Yes position

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $545.3

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.3

Heat position

Bulls vs. Heat

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.89

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.33

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $503

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.72

Knicks position

Nuggets vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445.56

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Pelicans

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.2

No position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.99

No position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.21

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.8

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 6% 1,000 shares
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 19% 150 shares
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 19% 50 shares
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 19% 5 shares
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 19% 150 shares
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 24% 9.88 shares
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Egypt 57% 340 shares
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Australia 44% 107 shares
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Australia 24% 12 shares
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Australia 21% 1,793.03 shares
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 6.7% 1,575 shares
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 11% 417.99 shares