Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $168.18
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $4.78K
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $148.39
Polymarket Trader
froguser
0x08945ab0434cc8574c5b1588ebe5ef061f34d819
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.27K
- Realized PnL
- $6.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.7%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $3.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 2.72x
- User PnL
- $791.95
No position
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $587.49
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$212.5
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $786.56
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $81.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $231
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$496.69
No position
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$645
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $772.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $727.5
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$75.09
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $545
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $455
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $910
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$10
Avalanche position
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.92
- Potential profit
- $999.92
- User PnL
- -$164.97
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $712.98
- Potential profit
- $712.98
- User PnL
- -$195.98
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Current value
- $171.95
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $328.05
- Multiplier
- 2.91x
- User PnL
- -$18.05
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$31
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $257.49
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $242.49
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $393.21
- Potential profit
- $393.21
- User PnL
- -$87.35
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.46
- Potential profit
- $333.46
- User PnL
- -$144.17
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $79.03
- Potential payout
- $309.92
- Potential profit
- $230.89
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$26.34
Yes position
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $127.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $172.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$55.5
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $259.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.97
- Potential profit
- $299.97
- User PnL
- -$182.98
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $118.74
- Potential payout
- $249.97
- Potential profit
- $131.23
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$21.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $885.11
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- $610
No position
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574
No position
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.51
No position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.7
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.03
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $191.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178
Yes position
Plasma >$6B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.77
Yes position
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.67
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.41
No position
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.82
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.36
Yes position
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.71
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $124.54
No position
Football.Fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.22
No position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 110 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 31% 250 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 33% 742.4 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 88% 234.86 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes 79% 200 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes 79% 300 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes 80% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes 86% 581.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 2,649.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 87% 1,149.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 24.5% 850.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 29.4% 850.34 shares