Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$161
Polymarket Trader
ICountElectricSheep
0x08946e01931355d9faf7f9814294a60879d3cf93
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $296.61
- Realized PnL
- $35.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$650
Yes position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $993.59
- Potential profit
- $993.59
- User PnL
- -$66.91
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.82
- Potential payout
- $831.55
- Potential profit
- $825.73
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$37.73
Yes position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$297
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.35
- Potential payout
- $668.84
- Potential profit
- $663.49
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$71.63
Yes position
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $565.07
- Potential profit
- $565.07
- User PnL
- -$174.52
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.16
- Potential profit
- $500.16
- User PnL
- -$126.44
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $498.25
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$83.33
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.98
- User PnL
- -$156.66
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $499.9
- Potential profit
- $493.65
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.25
No position
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.78
- Potential profit
- $499.78
- User PnL
- -$216.15
Yes position
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$94
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $277.44
- Potential payout
- $309.99
- Potential profit
- $32.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $109.25
No position
US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$139.99
No position
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.19
- Potential profit
- $298.19
- User PnL
- -$105.36
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.96
- Potential profit
- $291.96
- User PnL
- -$96.35
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$23.98
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.92
- Potential profit
- $199.92
- User PnL
- -$14.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
Yes position
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
No position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Y
Yes position
Will U.S. GDP growth be between 0% and -1% in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $752.09
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.91
Yes position
Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.29
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.38
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.8
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.23
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.15
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.36
No position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No 36.7% 9.41 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes 24% 58.18 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 38.4% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes 17% 48.34 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?Yes 33% 194.64 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?Yes 33% 97.32 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes 9.5% 113.73 shares
- Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No 67.2% 100.02 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Yes 3.5% 499.99 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes 4% 852.14 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?Yes 12% 200 shares