Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $501.94
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $213.94
Polymarket Trader
JeffLLLLLLLLL
0x0899c20a474da7b71ebd1a78483f5154449fd645
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $549.74
- Realized PnL
- $686.55
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $39.6
- Potential payout
- $191.79
- Potential profit
- $152.19
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$12.4
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $7.14
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.86
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.36
- Potential profit
- $16.36
- User PnL
- -$4.74
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $10.71
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $603.92
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.22
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.54
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 95.2% 7.31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 10% 3,500 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.3% 98.9 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 181.81 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes 0.6% 114.28 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 3% 20.83 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.1% 33.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes 25% 11.11 shares
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes 12% 1,066.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETDown 29% 16.36 shares