Polymarket Trader

Namee1

0x08a42569f8b3dada7413e12aaf65719b8def9ee9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.8
Realized PnL: $89.31
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.52K
Potential profit: $50.52K
User PnL: -$237.13

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $786.43
Potential profit: $786.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.07
Potential profit: $361.07
User PnL: -$26.26

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $17.41
Potential payout: $217.65
Potential profit: $200.24
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$17.59

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9

No position

OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

70°F in NYC in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.92

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?

Ends Nov 21, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Israel military action against Iraq before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 75-79?

Ends Dec 2, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 29-Dec 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by Sunday?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Megaquake in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Russian Ruble ₽120 to $1 USD in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Benjamin Netanyahu arrested in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 31% 16.13 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 786.43 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Yes 17% 117.65 shares
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Yes 6% 351.07 shares
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?

Yes 32% 10 shares
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?

Yes 7.6% 26.62 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 94% 5 shares
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 29-Dec 6?

Yes 0.1% 50 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?

Yes 24% 50 shares
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?

Yes 87.3% 99.99 shares
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2024?

Yes 0.7% 7.7 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?

Yes 4% 50 shares