Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
Chococremeux
0x08a6e4da67d93ab30bb3e4c88c550977866af3cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $856.24
- Realized PnL
- $706.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Carson Carels be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $853.01
- Potential profit
- $851.73
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Alberts Smits be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $775.24
- Potential profit
- $774.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Chase Reid be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $12.31
- Potential payout
- $535.18
- Potential profit
- $522.87
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $10.56
Yes position
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $490.81
- Potential profit
- $488.35
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $20.11
- Potential payout
- $427.97
- Potential profit
- $407.85
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- $14.79
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $380.76
- Potential profit
- $379.05
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $294.46
- Potential payout
- $336.53
- Potential profit
- $42.07
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $29.07
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $236.32
- Potential payout
- $275.27
- Potential profit
- $38.95
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.79
Yes position
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $268.8
- Potential profit
- $266.92
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $149.93
- Potential payout
- $251.98
- Potential profit
- $102.05
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$3.39
Yes position
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $234.25
- Potential profit
- $233.55
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.3%
- Current value
- $42.4
- Potential payout
- $174.86
- Potential profit
- $132.45
- Multiplier
- 4.12x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.28
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $114.68
- Potential profit
- $113.82
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $17.68
- Potential payout
- $113
- Potential profit
- $95.32
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Oliver Suvanto be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $109.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $12.13
- Potential payout
- $105.45
- Potential profit
- $93.32
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $101.18
- Potential profit
- $98.9
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$13.58
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Yes position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.74
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.05
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $39.11
- Potential payout
- $71.76
- Potential profit
- $32.65
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$13.09
No position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $65.35
- Potential profit
- $56.2
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $1.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.49
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.11
No position
North Korea missile test by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.09
Yes position
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $31.87
Yes position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.91
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.67
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $21.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
Yes position
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.23
No position
North Korea missile launch by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.64
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.42
Yes position
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.35
Yes position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
No position
Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.24
No position
Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.9
No position
Will Luc Rabouin win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.36
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.32
Yes position
Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.27
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.11
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Yes position
Will Beckett Sennecke win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.45
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $14.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 65% 3.08 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 86% 3.49 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 79% 2.53 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 16.7% 5.99 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 55% 18.18 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 75% 8 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 74% 6.76 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 86% 17.44 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 88% 11.36 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 67% 5.97 shares