Polymarket Trader

ro3

0x08aad2046dc7103f8c2d86ddc34b21ba8f07774e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $198.89
Realized PnL: $42.78
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.14K
Potential profit: $18.14K
User PnL: -$297.36

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.63K
Potential profit: $10.63K
User PnL: -$89.99

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.46K
Potential profit: $3.46K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.35K
User PnL: -$146.61

Yes position

Will GOAT be the highest grossing movie this weekend?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.46K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $845.51
Potential profit: $845.51
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $168.62
Potential payout: $406.31
Potential profit: $237.69
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $58.62

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.17
Potential profit: $400.17
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.57
Potential profit: $378.57
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $308.07
Potential profit: $308.07
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.09
Potential profit: $250.09
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.58
Potential profit: $191.58
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $159.19
Potential profit: $159.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.92

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $8.41
Potential payout: $130.32
Potential profit: $121.91
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.59
Potential profit: $122.59
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.72
Potential profit: $119.72
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $21.79
Potential payout: $106.28
Potential profit: $84.49
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.44
Potential profit: $103.44
User PnL: -$45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Up 51% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Up 8% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 59% 29.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 26% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 51% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Up 53% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Up 49% 40.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 48% 10.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Up 51% 1.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Up 73% 1.37 shares
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?

No 1.6% 308.07 shares
Will GOAT be the highest grossing movie this weekend?

Yes 1% 2,459.65 shares