Polymarket Trader

KariSpice

0x08ab85cd4836e0cf068594a49ab8dc732c3a3af9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4K
Realized PnL: $825.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $2.35K
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $394.83

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $435.87
Potential payout: $442.28
Potential profit: $6.41
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$2.87

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $293.37
Potential payout: $299.96
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $107.89

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $198.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $1.1
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $74.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$14.2

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $98.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $79.64
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $2.29

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $59.61
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.39
User PnL: $13.01

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$10.25

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.65
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $44.71
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $0.29
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.82

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $39.86
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $3.86

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $34.27
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $29.87
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $29.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $29.9
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $24.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $5.85
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $18.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $17.89
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $18.35
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $15.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.76

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.8

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.4

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.99

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.75

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $41.82

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.64

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.68

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.9

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $12.88

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $12.25

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $10.1

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.96

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $4.89

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

No 99.2% 442.28 shares
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

No 77% 30 shares
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

No 1.8% 25 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 5% 999.99 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

No 96.4% 30 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 97.9% 15 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 81% 10 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

No 97.8% 20 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 96.9% 50 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 54% 50 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 57% 10 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 22.7% 10 shares