xpet1

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$14.98

No position

Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.98
Potential profit: $799.98
User PnL: -$579.99

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $606
Potential profit: $606
User PnL: -$77.95

No position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $565.51
Potential profit: $565.51
User PnL: -$342.08

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $482
Potential payout: $482
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $455.44

Yes position

Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428
Potential profit: $428
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $101.13
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $0.87
User PnL: $20.83

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.15
Potential profit: $95.15
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $86
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $85.47
Potential payout: $85.47
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $27.89

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $55.6
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $56.52
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.36
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $31.64
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$4.63

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $37
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$14.8

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.49

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$4.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.31

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.31

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.09

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.05

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.86

No position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.8

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.6

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $17.31

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.45

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.39

No position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.03

No position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.49

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

No position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.75

No position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16

No position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?