Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$57
Polymarket Trader
KClayton2021
0x08c4e84cf034febe771f212c92c29f0fdba1aad3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $10.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.48
- Potential profit
- $488.48
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 3.0%-4.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump 10M TikTok followers by Friday?
Ends Jun 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 75-84 times?
Ends May 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022?
Ends Mar 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Elon post 70-79 times?
Ends Jun 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $762.73
Yes position
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022?
Ends Apr 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.36
Yes position
Will Elon post 40-49 times?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.38
No position
Ethereum above $3,800 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.2
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 55 times?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.02
No position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022?
Ends Jan 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.66
N
No position
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022?
Ends Mar 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.1
Yes position
Trump posts 20-29 times on X?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.65
Yes position
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.3% or less on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.56
Yes position
Will Biden say "Convicted Felon" during the debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.92
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.76
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 120 or more times?
Ends Aug 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.68
No position
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.32
No position
Will Biden say "Jill" in ABC interview?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.22
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.25
No position
Will Elon tweet 120 or more times?
Ends Jul 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.71
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 80-89 times?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.59
Yes position
Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.4
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
Yes position
Trump posts 30-34 or more times on X?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more?Yes 0.3% 100 shares
- Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?Yes 1.1% 200 shares
- Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?Yes 0.2% 322.44 shares
- Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?Yes 96.2% 200 shares
- Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 2.0%-3.0%?Yes 98.7% 100 shares
- Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?Yes 4.9% 122.45 shares
- Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes 99.7% 641.17 shares
- Trump wins every swing state?Yes 99.5% 200 shares
- Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes 99.7% 300 shares
- Will the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 0%-1.0%?No 99.9% 382.32 shares
- Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?Yes 12.8% 430.38 shares
- Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?Yes 23% 100 shares