No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $13.46K
- Potential payout
- $13.58K
- Potential profit
- $115.42
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Polymarket Trader
Folletin
0x08c897e4780c299061fe683120e5bb18cf931da2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.99K
- Realized PnL
- $65.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $7.46K
- Potential payout
- $12.75K
- Potential profit
- $5.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $794.48
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $12.28K
- Potential payout
- $12.45K
- Potential profit
- $174.32
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $7.11K
- Potential payout
- $8.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$717.29
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $68.59
- Potential payout
- $8.07K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$240.67
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $380.8
- Potential payout
- $7.54K
- Potential profit
- $7.16K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$28.77
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $7.33K
- Potential payout
- $7.4K
- Potential profit
- $74.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $382.77
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $6.8K
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $37.58
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $2.41K
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.39K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$29.04
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $3.48K
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $42.7
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $778.01
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $234.75
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.48K
- Potential profit
- $4.48K
- User PnL
- -$3.58K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $416.85
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$15.07
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $171.59
- Potential payout
- $3.86K
- Potential profit
- $3.68K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$95.11
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $94.34
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Yes position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $29.93
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$15.11
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.11K
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $26.64
- User PnL
- $729.69
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $857.5
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $48.41
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $747.67
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 4.09x
- User PnL
- $532.06
No position
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $164.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $652.25
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$90.42
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $21.73
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$38.13
No position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $208.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $726.98
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $91.96
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$275.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73K
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35K
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
"Make Greenland Great Again Act" passes the House before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 11-17?
Ends Feb 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.6% 1,319.55 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 72% 1,361.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 70.2% 1,167.64 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 93% 5,522.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 61% 1,459 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77.4% 801.21 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 64.9% 1,092.93 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 85.2% 2,023.94 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 77.6% 3,709 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 990 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?No 97.2% 6,028.35 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?No 86% 1,590 shares