Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.66K
- Potential profit
- $16.66K
- User PnL
- -$49.97
Polymarket Trader
ourdemocracy
0x08c95f70b0565ee01fbb30705b61aa641616a2ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.93K
- Realized PnL
- $306.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $6.21K
- Potential payout
- $6.23K
- Potential profit
- $21.8
- User PnL
- $82.91
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $379.09
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.17
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $19.22
- User PnL
- $78.85
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- User PnL
- $71.29
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $9.36
- User PnL
- $19.58
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $169.63
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $62.1
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $9.22
- User PnL
- $30.17
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $780.7
- Potential payout
- $786.2
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $651
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $464.4
- Potential payout
- $584.15
- Potential profit
- $119.75
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $8.53
No position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $535.05
- Potential payout
- $572.25
- Potential profit
- $37.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $33.81
No position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $449.33
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- User PnL
- $10.28
No position
Obama federally charged before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $377.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $22.8
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $42.6
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $199.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $17.1
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $181.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$14.36
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $161
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$14.66
Yes position
Solana above $200 on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$110.32
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $179.15
- Potential payout
- $187.59
- Potential profit
- $8.44
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $173.88
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.8%
- Current value
- $109.53
- Potential payout
- $159.32
- Potential profit
- $49.79
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.4
- Potential profit
- $153.4
- User PnL
- -$9.05
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $149.48
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- User PnL
- $2.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.84K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.91K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.52K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.15K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
No position
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.73
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.02
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.22
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.72
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $343.54
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.79
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.37
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.97
No position
US national Solana reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.2
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.19
No position
US forces in Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.73
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.33
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.17
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.92
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.91
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.53
No position
Will XRP reach $5.00 in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in June?No 96.8% 180 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 96.8% 55 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 93.6% 75 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No 98.7% 473.2 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 95.7% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 87.8% 200 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No 94% 119.99 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?No 79% 307.69 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.5% 1,441.78 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No 88% 700 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Yes 91% 174.17 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yes 61.8% 103.76 shares