Yes position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $993.17
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $192.82
Polymarket Trader
Nevermarginal
0x08dc78d06fbaabbf0ceba0008cc738060ee237d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $993.17
- Realized PnL
- $609.27
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.07K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- User PnL
- -$79.09
No position
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$90.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.7
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.35
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.13
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
Yes position
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.08
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.8
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$91.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?Yes 2.6% 3,068.52 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes 5% 1,250 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 0.3% 2,810.49 shares
- US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?Yes 1.4% 558.61 shares
- US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?Yes 7.9% 558.61 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)Strickland 30% 44 shares
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Yes 0.3% 4,400.18 shares
- Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes 24.2% 3,310.58 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes 8% 1,250 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 3.6% 2,810.5 shares
- Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Yes 1.7% 4,400.19 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 96.7% 1,111.11 shares